Nov21 |
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A Snowy Winter In The Works?
As always, Phillyweather.net has exhausting coverage:
This is what I sound like when I talk about baseball statistics, I can only assume. I think I have a WRF file in my system directory. NBC 10’s indefatigable Glenn “Hurricane” Schwartz came out, saw his shadow and forecasted a “rough” winter. (This differs from CBS 3’s winter forecast; Fox 29’s forecast is next week.) For now, enjoy the light coating and 28-degree temperatures. |
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Snow! We had a couple flurries before, but right! now! we are finally getting out first snowfall of the winter. The grown-up in me likes the thought of an easy morning post for the blog, and the kid in me likes the thought of getting off from school and playing Madden ‘93 all day.
Several TV industry people have told me some variant of the following:
“Philadelphia is the most weather obsessed TV market in the country.”
People are idiots if they believe these long term predictions and they probably don’t have the value added stuff you get in the Farmer’s Almanac!
R.M., weather is to Philadelphia media what car chases are to LA media.
As someone who took meteorology classes at Penn State, it’s pretty much impossible to predict specifics beyond a three day range. Now, the trends may point to a “rough” winter, but precise dates or actual snowfall totals are nothing but educated guesses. Since Philadelphia is actually the northernmost subtropical city in the US, it’s always on the edge of either a rainy day or a blizzard. That’ why the line between rain and snow is so important here, and why we end up being obsessed in the weather. It’s hard to predict in Philadelphia. When I lived in State College, it was literally the same forecast everyday (State College is actually classified as a pacific northwest climate, due to it’s position in the Appalachians)- fog in the morning with light snow, sunny afternoons, and snow at night. The spring and fall were the same except substitute snow with rain. So some cities are easier to predict for (San Diego anyone?), and others are harder, like Philly.
/wall of text
Didn’t Hurricane predict like 60″ of snow for last winter? I think that pretty much proves he just randomly makes stuff up.
Nah, he said it would be pretty dry. Hurricane knows his shit.
And a prediction of 60 in of snow for Philly would get you fired.
No, seriously. I think that’s what he predicted for last winter. If it wasn’t 60″, it was some large amount along those lines.
So this is how bored I am on a Sunday night: I looked it up. While it wasn’t 60″ like I thought, Hurricane’s prediction for last winter was 30-40″, which is still ridiculous.
Well yeah than I agree with you then.
To allow Huuricane Schwartz to continue to scare us like he did yesterday about “Friday’s coming snow/ice storm” that of course never happenned is outrageous. How can Weather.com get it right and HS get it so wrong?…again…and again???